Transform Me the Money!

In perhaps one of the most foolish - or brilliant - starts in KIDS Fund history, Transformers 2 will be held short. "Why, oh, why are you not on the hype wagon?" you might ask. Well, I have some very good reasons and here they are:

1) Looks like Wednesday will be around $50M. Let's give the movie another $40M on Wednesday. At current price (H$338), the movie would need to make $92M over the weekend just to break even. The original didn't even do that well with nobody going in knowing how good or bad it would be. Given reviews, RT scores, etc, it seems unlikely this one will top the other.

2) Severe frontloading from Wednesday will impact the weekend BO. I predict somewhere around $70M, resulting in a massive short.

3) Even if it does make money, it will be a post adjust short (at least for the short term). Swapping from long to short would be close to H$700k. I'd rather be sitting short to begin with.

4) C'mon. It looks terrible.

Some doubts: IMAX, people don't care how bad movies look, people thought the first one was terrific, people think *shudder* Megan Fox is *shudder* attractive, on and on. There is no way to tell, but we will see on Sunday.

Also, don't forget to set back your clocks tonight... no wait, don't forget to make all of your trades by 4PM today - we'll be on new HSX tomorrow evening!

Thanks for reading, and I hope we all get this one right. Happy trading!